CS Concordia Chiajna vs AFC Metalul Buzau

19 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

CS Concordia Chiajna

AFC Metalul Buzau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 25.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.05 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 27.0% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CS Concordia Chiajna

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Concordia Chiajna AFC Metalul Buzau

Shots 15.0 · On target 8.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours CS Concordia Chiajna, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Concordia Chiajna AFC Metalul Buzau

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Concordia Chiajna AFC Metalul Buzau

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CS Concordia Chiajna ↑ +0.39 (+23.5%)

AFC Metalul Buzau ↓ -0.81 (-18.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.