CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Gloria Bistrita

19 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Gloria Bistrita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 34.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.27 DRAW 27.3% 3.42 AWAY 31.6% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Gloria Bistrita relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.5% win probability, compared with 31.6% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Gloria Bistrita has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSA Steaua Bucuresti Gloria Bistrita

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSA Steaua Bucuresti Gloria Bistrita

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Gloria Bistrita has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSA Steaua Bucuresti Gloria Bistrita

The combined recent performance profile favours Gloria Bistrita.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CSA Steaua Bucuresti ↑ +0.43 (+23.4%)

Gloria Bistrita ↓ -0.83 (-22.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.