CSC 1599 Selimbar vs AFC Metalul Buzau

05 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

CSC 1599 Selimbar

AFC Metalul Buzau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 50.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.1% 4.02 DRAW 28.0% 3.46 AWAY 47.9% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for AFC Metalul Buzau relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.9% win probability, compared with 47.9% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

AFC Metalul Buzau has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSC 1599 Selimbar AFC Metalul Buzau

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours AFC Metalul Buzau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSC 1599 Selimbar AFC Metalul Buzau

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSC 1599 Selimbar AFC Metalul Buzau

The combined recent performance profile favours AFC Metalul Buzau.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CSC 1599 Selimbar ↑ +0.88 (+27.8%)

AFC Metalul Buzau ↓ -0.12 (-5.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.