FC Bacau vs CSC Dumbravita

06 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

FC Bacau

CSC Dumbravita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 16.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.3% 1.65 DRAW 24.2% 3.90 AWAY 18.5% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Bacau relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.0% win probability, compared with 57.3% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Bacau has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Bacau CSC Dumbravita

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Bacau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Bacau CSC Dumbravita

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3

FC Bacau has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Bacau CSC Dumbravita

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Bacau.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Bacau ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

CSC Dumbravita ↑ +0.21 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.