CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Cetate Suceava

05 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Cetate Suceava

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% 1.80 DRAW 25.5% 3.72 AWAY 21.8% 4.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cetate Suceava relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.3% win probability, compared with 21.8% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cetate Suceava has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSA Steaua Bucuresti Cetate Suceava

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Cetate Suceava, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSA Steaua Bucuresti Cetate Suceava

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Cetate Suceava has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSA Steaua Bucuresti Cetate Suceava

The combined recent performance profile favours Cetate Suceava.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CSA Steaua Bucuresti ↑ +0.23 (+14.6%)

Cetate Suceava ↓ -0.83 (-16.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.