Chanthaburi FC vs Kasetsart FC

17 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Chanthaburi FC

Kasetsart FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 17.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.0% 1.63 DRAW 24.7% 3.70 AWAY 19.3% 4.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chanthaburi FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 56.0% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chanthaburi FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chanthaburi FC Kasetsart FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Chanthaburi FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chanthaburi FC Kasetsart FC

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Kasetsart FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chanthaburi FC Kasetsart FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Chanthaburi FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chanthaburi FC ↓ -0.03 (-2.0%)

Kasetsart FC ↓ -0.02 (-0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.