Chiangmai United vs Khonkaen United

15 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Chiangmai United

Khonkaen United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% 3.07 DRAW 26.9% 3.40 AWAY 43.3% 2.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chiangmai United relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.9% win probability, compared with 29.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chiangmai United

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chiangmai United Khonkaen United

Shots 14.3 · On target 8.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Chiangmai United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chiangmai United Khonkaen United

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chiangmai United Khonkaen United

The combined recent performance profile favours Chiangmai United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chiangmai United ↑ +0.02 (+0.5%)

Khonkaen United ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.