Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh

09 Sep 2026 · 17:55

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Al Kholood

Al Shabab Riyadh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.6% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 41.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.89 DRAW 26.3% 3.63 AWAY 40.7% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Shabab Riyadh

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Kholood Al Shabab Riyadh

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Shabab Riyadh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Kholood Al Shabab Riyadh

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Kholood Al Shabab Riyadh

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al Kholood ↓ -0.27 (-8.4%)

Al Shabab Riyadh ↑ +0.22 (+10.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.