Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al Faisaly Harmah

08 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Al Ittifaq Dammam

Al Faisaly Harmah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 24.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% 1.98 DRAW 25.1% 3.78 AWAY 27.1% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Ittifaq Dammam relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.5% win probability, compared with 47.8% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Ittifaq Dammam has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ittifaq Dammam Al Faisaly Harmah

Shots 12.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Ittifaq Dammam, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ittifaq Dammam Al Faisaly Harmah

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ittifaq Dammam Al Faisaly Harmah

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ittifaq Dammam.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Ittifaq Dammam ↓ -0.10 (-4.6%)

Al Faisaly Harmah ↑ +0.29 (+8.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.