Anorthosis Famagusta vs Apoel Nicosia

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Anorthosis Famagusta

Apoel Nicosia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 54.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% 4.54 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 52.6% 1.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Apoel Nicosia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Anorthosis Famagusta Apoel Nicosia

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Apoel Nicosia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Anorthosis Famagusta Apoel Nicosia

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Apoel Nicosia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Anorthosis Famagusta Apoel Nicosia

The combined recent performance profile favours Apoel Nicosia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Anorthosis Famagusta ↑ +0.11 (+2.5%)

Apoel Nicosia ↑ +0.08 (+4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.