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Cyprus Division 1 · CY

AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia

29 Aug 2026 · 18:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 49.7%
Draw 27.1%
Away 23.2%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 22.6 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

AEK Larnaca has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack

AEK Larnaca Apoel Nicosia
Shots / match 11.5 9.8
On target / match 6.3 5.0

Defence

AEK Larnaca Apoel Nicosia
Shots allowed / match 9.0 11.5
On target allowed / match 3.5 5.3

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AEK Larnaca ↓ -0.26 (-12.3%)
Apoel Nicosia ↑ +0.80 (+22.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.375
Shot rating 17
Shots-on-target rating 12
Qualified model signal Detected
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus, recent performance and the StochasticBet model point in the same direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.