Al Draih vs Al Qadisiya Al Khubar

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.5 pp

Al Draih

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.9% DRAW 15.7% AWAY 73.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.0% 6.82 DRAW 18.0% 5.28 AWAY 68.0% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Qadisiya Al Khubar clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 73.5% win probability, compared with 68.0% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Draih Al Qadisiya Al Khubar

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 21.8 · On target 10.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Qadisiya Al Khubar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Draih Al Qadisiya Al Khubar

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Draih Al Qadisiya Al Khubar

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Qadisiya Al Khubar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Draih ↑ +1.32 (+24.0%)

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar ↓ -0.11 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.