Inter Miami CF vs Cruz Azul

17 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Inter Miami CF

Cruz Azul

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 27.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.5% 1.98 DRAW 24.1% 3.99 AWAY 27.4% 3.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Inter Miami CF

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inter Miami CF Cruz Azul

Shots 16.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inter Miami CF Cruz Azul

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inter Miami CF Cruz Azul

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Inter Miami CF ↓ -0.24 (-10.8%)

Cruz Azul ↑ +0.68 (+24.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.