Provincial Ovalle vs AC Colina

07 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

Provincial Ovalle

AC Colina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% 2.75 DRAW 30.6% 3.26 AWAY 33.2% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AC Colina

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Provincial Ovalle AC Colina

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Provincial Ovalle AC Colina

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Provincial Ovalle AC Colina

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Provincial Ovalle = (0.0%)

AC Colina ↑ +0.75 (+33.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.