Concon National vs Colchagua CD

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Concon National

Colchagua CD

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% 2.35 DRAW 28.6% 3.27 AWAY 31.7% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Concon National

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Concon National Colchagua CD

Shots 9.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Concon National Colchagua CD

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Concon National Colchagua CD

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Concon National ↑ +0.20 (+9.3%)

Colchagua CD ↑ +0.08 (+2.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.