Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Provincial Osorno

Santiago City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 21.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% 1.82 DRAW 24.7% 3.86 AWAY 22.7% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Provincial Osorno

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Provincial Osorno Santiago City

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Provincial Osorno Santiago City

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Provincial Osorno has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Provincial Osorno Santiago City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Provincial Osorno ↑ +0.14 (+8.3%)

Santiago City ↓ -0.18 (-4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.