Deportes Linares vs Colchagua CD

05 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Deportes Linares

Colchagua CD

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 1.91 DRAW 26.6% 3.51 AWAY 24.6% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Deportes Linares relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.5% win probability, compared with 48.9% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportes Linares

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportes Linares Colchagua CD

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportes Linares Colchagua CD

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Deportes Linares has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportes Linares Colchagua CD

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportes Linares.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportes Linares ↑ +0.26 (+15.7%)

Colchagua CD ↓ -0.99 (-20.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.