Santiago City vs Concon National

05 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Santiago City

Concon National

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 33.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.45 DRAW 27.6% 3.44 AWAY 33.6% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santiago City

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santiago City Concon National

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Santiago City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santiago City Concon National

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Concon National has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santiago City Concon National

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Santiago City ↑ +0.25 (+11.4%)

Concon National ↑ +0.08 (+2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.