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Saudi Arabia Pro League · SA

Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Al Draih

23 Oct 2026 · 17:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Al Ittihad Jeddah. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.67 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.70. At this price, a home win for Al Ittihad Jeddah does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Al Ittihad Jeddah
STOCHASTICBET 58.9%
PINNACLE 56.7% odd 1.67
DIFFERENCE +2.2 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.5%
PINNACLE 21.9% odd 4.32
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
AWAY
Al Draih
STOCHASTICBET 19.6%
PINNACLE 21.3% odd 4.45
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 17:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Al Ittihad Jeddah

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Ittihad Jeddah Al Draih
Shots 15.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Ittihad Jeddah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Ittihad Jeddah Al Draih
Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Ittihad Jeddah Al Draih

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ittihad Jeddah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Saudi Arabia Pro League · 135 matches with scores · 135 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Al Ittihad Jeddah6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WLLDWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Al Draih6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WDLDWL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
+2.714.7 actual
Al DraihAway team
+0.312.7 actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 14.7 · league average 12.0 · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 12.7 · league average 12.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
−2.410.0 actual
Al DraihAway team
−0.211.8 actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 10.0 · league average 12.4 · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 11.8 · league average 12.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
+1.35.8 actual
Al DraihAway team
−1.53.2 actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 5.8 · league average 4.6 · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 3.2 · league average 4.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
+0.14.7 actual
Al DraihAway team
−0.64.0 actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 4.7 · league average 4.6 · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 4.0 · league average 4.6 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
+0.732.17 actual
Al DraihAway team
−0.770.67 actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 2.17 · league average 1.44 · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 0.67 · league average 1.44 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
+2.8 pp14.8% actual
Al DraihAway team
−6.4 pp5.3% actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 14.8% · league average 12.0% · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 5.3% · league average 11.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al Ittihad JeddahHome team
+3.4 pp15.0% actual
Al DraihAway team
−2.1 pp9.9% actual
Al Ittihad Jeddah: 15.0% · league average 11.6% · 6 valid matchesAl Draih: 9.9% · league average 12.0% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Al Ittihad Jeddah · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
20/10/2026Away4–119 / 98 / 4
13/10/2026Home1–223 / 87 / 3
10/10/2026Away2–38 / 185 / 9
14/09/2026Away1–113 / 76 / 3
11/09/2026Away3–13 / 13 / 1
08/09/2026Home2–122 / 176 / 8
Al Draih · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
20/10/2026Home1–017 / 168 / 5
17/10/2026Home1–111 / 92 / 1
09/10/2026Away0–311 / 172 / 8
13/09/2026Home0–015 / 101 / 3
09/09/2026Away2–114 / 104 / 3
03/09/2026Home0–28 / 92 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.