Al Taawon Buraidah vs Al Hilal Riyadh

12 Sep 2026 · 17:50

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Al Taawon Buraidah

Al Hilal Riyadh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.1% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 75.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.2% 9.50 DRAW 15.4% 6.29 AWAY 74.4% 1.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Hilal Riyadh has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Taawon Buraidah Al Hilal Riyadh

Shots 17.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 20.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Hilal Riyadh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Taawon Buraidah Al Hilal Riyadh

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Al Hilal Riyadh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Taawon Buraidah Al Hilal Riyadh

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Hilal Riyadh.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Taawon Buraidah ↑ +2.36 (+33.1%)

Al Hilal Riyadh ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.