Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Al Shabab Riyadh

Al Fayha

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 17.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.4% 1.58 DRAW 21.6% 4.42 AWAY 18.0% 5.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Fayha

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Shabab Riyadh Al Fayha

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Shabab Riyadh Al Fayha

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Al Shabab Riyadh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Shabab Riyadh Al Fayha

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Al Shabab Riyadh ↓ -0.04 (-2.2%)

Al Fayha ↑ +0.99 (+22.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.