Al Qadisiya Al Khubar vs Al Ittifaq Dammam

11 Sep 2026 · 17:25

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar

Al Ittifaq Dammam

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% DRAW 12.8% AWAY 10.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.1% 1.29 DRAW 14.3% 6.79 AWAY 10.6% 9.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Al Ittifaq Dammam

Shots 12.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Qadisiya Al Khubar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Al Ittifaq Dammam

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Al Ittifaq Dammam

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Qadisiya Al Khubar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Qadisiya Al Khubar ↑ +0.06 (+4.5%)

Al Ittifaq Dammam ↑ +1.24 (+15.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.