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Bulgaria Third League · BG

FK Gigant Saedinie vs FC Marica Milevo

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00
CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp
FK Gigant Saedinie
FC Marica Milevo
HOME 33.8% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 43.7%
HOME 27.9% 3.23 DRAW 22.8% 3.95 AWAY 49.3% 1.83

StochasticBet rates FK Gigant Saedinie clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.8% win probability, compared with 27.9% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Gigant Saedinie has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Gigant Saedinie FC Marica Milevo
Shots 12.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Gigant Saedinie, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Gigant Saedinie FC Marica Milevo
Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Gigant Saedinie FC Marica Milevo

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Gigant Saedinie.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Gigant Saedinie = (0.0%)
FC Marica Milevo = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.