San Martin de Mendoza vs Club Circulo Deportivo

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

San Martin de Mendoza

Club Circulo Deportivo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% 1.85 DRAW 30.4% 3.10 AWAY 18.8% 5.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Martin de Mendoza

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Martin de Mendoza Club Circulo Deportivo

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Martin de Mendoza Club Circulo Deportivo

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Club Circulo Deportivo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Martin de Mendoza Club Circulo Deportivo

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Circulo Deportivo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

San Martin de Mendoza ↓ -0.20 (-9.8%)

Club Circulo Deportivo ↑ +1.41 (+39.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.