Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Club Circulo Deportivo

Sol de Mayo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.8% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% 1.73 DRAW 27.8% 3.50 AWAY 15.8% 6.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sol de Mayo

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Sol de Mayo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Club Circulo Deportivo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Circulo Deportivo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Circulo Deportivo ↓ -0.19 (-9.9%)

Sol de Mayo ↑ +2.56 (+71.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.