Tucuman Central vs Sportivo Las Parejas

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Tucuman Central

Sportivo Las Parejas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 55.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.1% 5.00 DRAW 26.4% 3.62 AWAY 54.5% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sportivo Las Parejas

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tucuman Central Sportivo Las Parejas

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tucuman Central Sportivo Las Parejas

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Sportivo Las Parejas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tucuman Central Sportivo Las Parejas

The combined recent performance profile favours Sportivo Las Parejas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tucuman Central ↑ +1.30 (+35.1%)

Sportivo Las Parejas ↓ -0.30 (-14.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.