Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Huracan Las Heras

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Kimberley Mar del Plata

Huracan Las Heras

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 14.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.8% 1.68 DRAW 27.3% 3.50 AWAY 15.9% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kimberley Mar del Plata

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kimberley Mar del Plata Huracan Las Heras

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Kimberley Mar del Plata, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kimberley Mar del Plata Huracan Las Heras

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kimberley Mar del Plata Huracan Las Heras

The combined recent performance profile favours Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Kimberley Mar del Plata ↑ +0.13 (+8.4%)

Huracan Las Heras ↓ -1.00 (-14.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.