CA Alvarado vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

CA Alvarado

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.0% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 9.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.9% 1.41 DRAW 24.3% 3.82 AWAY 9.8% 9.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Alvarado

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Alvarado Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Alvarado, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Alvarado Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Alvarado Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Alvarado ↓ -0.24 (-14.5%)

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas ↑ +4.25 (+81.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.