Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Douglas Haig

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Sportivo Belgrano

CA Douglas Haig

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 33.5% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.25 DRAW 32.4% 2.90 AWAY 25.8% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CA Douglas Haig relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.6% win probability, compared with 25.8% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CA Douglas Haig has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Belgrano CA Douglas Haig

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 15.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Douglas Haig, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Belgrano CA Douglas Haig

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Belgrano CA Douglas Haig

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Douglas Haig.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo Belgrano ↑ +0.20 (+9.8%)

CA Douglas Haig ↑ +0.14 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.