San Martin Formosa vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

San Martin Formosa

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% 1.71 DRAW 28.1% 3.30 AWAY 17.8% 5.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Martin Formosa

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Martin Formosa CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours San Martin Formosa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Martin Formosa CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Martin Formosa CA Sarmiento de la Banda

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Martin Formosa ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

CA Sarmiento de la Banda ↑ +0.46 (+9.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.