CA Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

06 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CA Bartolome Mitre

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.4% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 67.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.6% 10.00 DRAW 22.8% 4.20 AWAY 67.6% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Bartolome Mitre Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Bartolome Mitre Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Bartolome Mitre Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

The combined recent performance profile favours Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CA Bartolome Mitre ↑ +1.00 (+11.1%)

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.