CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 20.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 1.93 DRAW 30.9% 3.10 AWAY 19.5% 4.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Sarmiento de la Banda CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Sarmiento de la Banda CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CA Sarmiento de la Banda ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela ↑ +1.23 (+33.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.