Defensores de Belgrano VR vs San Martin Formosa

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Defensores de Belgrano VR

San Martin Formosa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 30.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% 2.56 DRAW 32.1% 2.90 AWAY 31.5% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Defensores de Belgrano VR San Martin Formosa

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Defensores de Belgrano VR San Martin Formosa

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Defensores de Belgrano VR San Martin Formosa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Defensores de Belgrano VR ↑ +0.26 (+11.3%)

San Martin Formosa ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.