Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Tucuman Central

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Sarmiento de Resistencia

Tucuman Central

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% 1.83 DRAW 29.6% 3.20 AWAY 18.6% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tucuman Central

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sarmiento de Resistencia Tucuman Central

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sarmiento de Resistencia Tucuman Central

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sarmiento de Resistencia Tucuman Central

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sarmiento de Resistencia ↑ +0.15 (+8.9%)

Tucuman Central ↑ +0.02 (+0.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.