Independiente Chivilcoy vs Club Atlético El Linqueño

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Independiente Chivilcoy

Club Atlético El Linqueño

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.8% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 14.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% 1.77 DRAW 29.5% 3.30 AWAY 15.6% 6.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Independiente Chivilcoy has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independiente Chivilcoy Club Atlético El Linqueño

Shots 11.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Independiente Chivilcoy, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independiente Chivilcoy Club Atlético El Linqueño

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independiente Chivilcoy Club Atlético El Linqueño

The combined recent performance profile favours Independiente Chivilcoy.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Independiente Chivilcoy ↓ -0.11 (-5.9%)

Club Atlético El Linqueño ↑ +2.11 (+50.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.