FK Backa Topola vs FK Dubocica

21 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FK Backa Topola

FK Dubocica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.6% DRAW 13.5% AWAY 8.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.2% 1.22 DRAW 14.3% 6.59 AWAY 8.5% 11.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FK Backa Topola

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Backa Topola FK Dubocica

Shots 14.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 17.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Backa Topola FK Dubocica

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

FK Backa Topola has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Backa Topola FK Dubocica

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Backa Topola ↑ +0.04 (+3.5%)

FK Dubocica ↑ +0.10 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.