St. Vincent/Grenadines vs French Guiana

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

St. Vincent/Grenadines

French Guiana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 38.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% 2.75 DRAW 26.8% 3.50 AWAY 39.1% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: French Guiana

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

St. Vincent/Grenadines French Guiana

Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours French Guiana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St. Vincent/Grenadines French Guiana

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St. Vincent/Grenadines French Guiana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

St. Vincent/Grenadines ↓ -0.85 (-23.5%)

French Guiana ↑ +0.50 (+26.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.