Grenada vs Cuba

25 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +7.8 pp

Grenada

Cuba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 48.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% 3.06 DRAW 29.3% 3.18 AWAY 40.2% 2.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Cuba substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.0% win probability, compared with 40.2% implied by the market. The 7.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cuba has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grenada Cuba

Shots 1.8 · On target 0.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Cuba, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grenada Cuba

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Cuba has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grenada Cuba

The combined recent performance profile favours Cuba.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Grenada ↑ +0.54 (+21.4%)

Cuba ↓ -0.62 (-21.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.