Bermuda vs Guadeloupe

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Bermuda

Guadeloupe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 29.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% 2.11 DRAW 28.7% 3.25 AWAY 27.1% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guadeloupe

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bermuda Guadeloupe

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Guadeloupe, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bermuda Guadeloupe

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Bermuda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bermuda Guadeloupe

The combined recent performance profile favours Guadeloupe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bermuda ↓ -1.55 (-42.3%)

Guadeloupe ↑ +1.33 (+62.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.