El Salvador vs Martinique

26 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

El Salvador

Martinique

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.9% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% 1.77 DRAW 26.1% 3.62 AWAY 20.6% 4.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Martinique

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

El Salvador Martinique

Shots 5.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

El Salvador Martinique

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Martinique has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

El Salvador Martinique

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

El Salvador ↓ -0.10 (-5.4%)

Martinique ↑ +0.16 (+3.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.