Pecsi MFC (W) vs Astra HFC (W)

16 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Pecsi MFC (W)

Astra HFC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% 1.48 DRAW 22.2% 4.00 AWAY 17.8% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pecsi MFC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.5% win probability, compared with 60.0% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Pecsi MFC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pecsi MFC (W) Astra HFC (W)

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Pecsi MFC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pecsi MFC (W) Astra HFC (W)

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 7.8

Pecsi MFC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pecsi MFC (W) Astra HFC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Pecsi MFC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pecsi MFC (W) ↓ -0.05 (-3.3%)

Astra HFC (W) ↓ -0.20 (-3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.