Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus

15 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Deportivo Riestra

Lanus

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.9% DRAW 36.7% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.50 DRAW 35.5% 2.80 AWAY 36.0% 2.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lanus

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Riestra Lanus

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Lanus, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Riestra Lanus

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Riestra Lanus

The combined recent performance profile favours Lanus.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Riestra ↑ +0.15 (+4.8%)

Lanus ↓ -0.12 (-4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.