Portugal Campeonato Nacional · PT

FC Tirsense vs Montalegre

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Montalegre. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 4.39 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 4.78. At this price, an away win for Montalegre does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME

FC Tirsense

STOCHASTICBET 50.7%

PINNACLE 51.1% odd 1.77

DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 28.4%

PINNACLE 28.3% odd 3.19

DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

Montalegre

STOCHASTICBET 20.9%

PINNACLE 20.6% odd 4.39

DIFFERENCE +0.3 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FC Tirsense

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Tirsense Montalegre

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Tirsense Montalegre

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Montalegre has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Tirsense Montalegre

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.