Pachuca (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Pachuca (W)

Santos Laguna (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.2% DRAW 13.7% AWAY 9.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.2% 1.27 DRAW 14.3% 6.84 AWAY 8.5% 11.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Santos Laguna (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pachuca (W) Santos Laguna (W)

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pachuca (W) Santos Laguna (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Santos Laguna (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pachuca (W) Santos Laguna (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Pachuca (W) = (0.0%)

Santos Laguna (W) ↑ +4.00 (+50.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.