Queretaro (W) vs Atlas (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 20:06

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Queretaro (W)

Atlas (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 36.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.86 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 40.0% 2.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Queretaro (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.1% win probability, compared with 33.0% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atlas (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Queretaro (W) Atlas (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Queretaro (W) Atlas (W)

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Queretaro (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Queretaro (W) Atlas (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Queretaro (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Queretaro (W) ↑ +0.16 (+5.9%)

Atlas (W) ↑ +0.18 (+8.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.