Monterrey (W) vs Necaxa (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Monterrey (W)

Necaxa (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 94.7% DRAW 3.1% AWAY 2.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 93.2% 1.03 DRAW 4.2% 23.00 AWAY 2.7% 36.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Monterrey (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Monterrey (W) Necaxa (W)

Shots 16.3 · On target 9.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Monterrey (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Monterrey (W) Necaxa (W)

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Monterrey (W) Necaxa (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Monterrey (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Monterrey (W) ↑ +0.01 (+1.0%)

Necaxa (W) ↓ -5.00 (-12.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.