Club America (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)

14 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Club America (W)

Tigres UANL (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 16.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% 1.64 DRAW 22.9% 4.25 AWAY 17.7% 5.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club America (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club America (W) Tigres UANL (W)

Shots 17.0 · On target 10.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Club America (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club America (W) Tigres UANL (W)

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club America (W) Tigres UANL (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club America (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.7%)

Tigres UANL (W) ↑ +0.23 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.