Tigres UANL (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 02:06

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Tigres UANL (W)

Santos Laguna (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.2% DRAW 7.0% AWAY 4.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.6% 1.08 DRAW 7.9% 12.00 AWAY 4.5% 21.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tigres UANL (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tigres UANL (W) Santos Laguna (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Tigres UANL (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tigres UANL (W) Santos Laguna (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Santos Laguna (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tigres UANL (W) Santos Laguna (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Tigres UANL (W) ↓ -0.03 (-2.7%)

Santos Laguna (W) ↑ +6.00 (+40.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.