Queretaro (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Queretaro (W)

Cruz Azul (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.7% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 67.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.8% 7.18 DRAW 18.3% 5.41 AWAY 67.9% 1.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cruz Azul (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Queretaro (W) Cruz Azul (W)

Shots 4.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Cruz Azul (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Queretaro (W) Cruz Azul (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Queretaro (W) Cruz Azul (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Cruz Azul (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Queretaro (W) ↑ +1.16 (+21.7%)

Cruz Azul (W) ↓ -0.11 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.