Tijuana (W) vs Pachuca (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 03:06

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Tijuana (W)

Pachuca (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.4% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 53.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% 4.34 DRAW 24.0% 3.92 AWAY 54.4% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pachuca (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tijuana (W) Pachuca (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tijuana (W) Pachuca (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tijuana (W) Pachuca (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Tijuana (W) ↑ +0.45 (+11.4%)

Pachuca (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.